Meme Stocks Decline

How “Hot” Stock Market Ideas Can Burn Investors The Meme Stock Index sees a 36% decline since January. On July 30, this headline appeared on a well-known investment website: It’s Definitely Possible to Make a Fortune Off Meme Stocks And, it’s definitely true that many investors, especially newbies, have tried. As you probably know, “meme” READ MORE

Booming Economy Requires Caution

Global Investing: Here’s the Message of Consumer “Overconfidence” Bear markets tend to follow this particular sentiment. In many global regions, economies are flourishing. For example, here are two headlines about the U.S.: What America’s Startup Boom Could Mean For The Economy (npr.com, June 29) Inflation Rose in June as Economic Recovery Continues (WSJ, July 13) READ MORE

Fear of Missing Out – FOMO

“Everybody’s Getting Rich (and Having Fun) Except Me” The idea of “missing out” on stock market gains “literally generates fear in many people” Hardly anyone wants to miss the party — whether on Wall Street or elsewhere. Thus, the acronym FOMO — which stands for the “fear of missing out” — is in vogue. After READ MORE

Bitcoin: More Volatility Directly Ahead?

If there’s a single word to describe bitcoin’s price action, that word is “volatile.” Yet, those who invested roughly a year ago in the cryptocurrency — and stuck with it — have been hugely rewarded. (At least until very recently, as bitcoin traded more than 50% lower from its all-time high on May 19, as READ MORE

Extreme Bullish Sentiment

This “Lopsided” Stock Market Ratio Is Sending a Clear Signal. Investors always find ways to “rationalize” bearish or bullish stances. For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question. For an Elliott READ MORE

Unprecedented Acceptance of Risk At Peak

U.S. Stocks: Here’s Evidence of a “Nearly Unprecedented Acceptance of Risk” Penny stocks fever has reached “the highest level since the first three months of 2000” Penny stocks tend to be highly illiquid. In other words, it’s difficult to buy and sell them at favorable prices. Even so, the lure of low-priced shares is hard READ MORE

Oat Milk Craze

Oat Prices AND the Truth Behind the “White Gold” Rush Oat futures’ recent surge to 7-year highs wasn’t caused by the oat milk craze; think “market psychology” instead. Generally speaking, the idea of oats is about as exciting as, well, a bowl of steel cut oatmeal. But this chart of oat futures shows why this READ MORE

Spike in Volatility Soon

Stock Market: Why You Should Prepare for a Jump in Volatility This volatility indicator “has made a series of higher lows” — and it’s not a good sign. Stock market volatility is like a roller-coaster ride — extreme ups and downs. However, unlike thrill-seeking roller-coaster riders who often rise from their seats after the ride READ MORE

Most Investors Miss Major Stock Market Turns

Will the Dow Industrials hit 100,000 in the next decade? Well, the answer posed by the question in the title is a resounding “yes!” — according to the British financial magazine, MoneyWeek. The cover of the Dec. 4 issue of the magazine is titled “The Roaring 2020s, Prepare Your Portfolio for a Boom.” An image READ MORE

Warning Signs for the US Economy

Look at These 2 Big Warning Signs for the U.S. Economy. Interestingly, this economic measure’s “retracement of the decline from February is a Fibonacci 61%”. The 7.4% GDP growth in Q3 notwithstanding, the evidence shows that the U.S. economy remains fragile. Let’s start off with this chart and commentary from the November Elliott Wave Financial READ MORE

Borrowed Money, Borrowed Time?

Margin: How Stock Market Investors Are “Reaching for the Stars” This is the highest ratio in the 20-year history of the data. One of the historic ways that stock market investors exhibit conviction about the direction of prices is to use leverage or participate in the market with borrowed money. Yet another way of putting READ MORE

Is it Covid that Drives Stocks?

Do These Explanations Make Sense for This Intraday Stock Market Turn? The market “is not propelled by … external causality” On Oct. 19, the DJIA had been trading higher for much of the morning, but by the last hour of trading, the index was more than 400 points in the red. During that last hour READ MORE

Extreme Sentiment Indicates a Peak in Bonds

U.S. Long Bond: Let’s Review the “Upward Point of Exhaustion” Here’s an update on the trend of 30-year U.S. Treasuries since the historic early March price moves. Back in early March, the behavior of the bond market was reminiscent of what unfolded during the depths of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Prices and yields were making READ MORE

Did Covid19 Cause the Stock Market Crash?

Think Coronavirus Caused the Crash? These Two Charts Beg to Differ Just about everyone thinks the coronavirus pandemic slammed global stock prices in February and March. Entire countries shut down; businesses closed up shop; unemployment soared. People stopped spending money beyond the essentials, so conventional wisdom would indeed expect stocks to slide as a result. READ MORE

Optimism Reigns at a Market Top

Many stock market investors believe that prices have already bottomed. Numerous banks, brokers and financial firms have issued statements saying as much. Indeed, the May Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which has offered analysis of financial and social trends since 1979, noted: On April 28, Bloomberg interviewed four money managers to answer the question READ MORE