This “Lopsided” Stock Market Ratio Is Sending a Clear Signal. Investors always find ways to “rationalize” bearish or bullish stances. For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question. For an Elliott READ MORE

U.S. Stocks: Here’s Evidence of a “Nearly Unprecedented Acceptance of Risk” Penny stocks fever has reached “the highest level since the first three months of 2000” Penny stocks tend to be highly illiquid. In other words, it’s difficult to buy and sell them at favorable prices. Even so, the lure of low-priced shares is hard READ MORE

Oat Prices AND the Truth Behind the “White Gold” Rush Oat futures’ recent surge to 7-year highs wasn’t caused by the oat milk craze; think “market psychology” instead. Generally speaking, the idea of oats is about as exciting as, well, a bowl of steel cut oatmeal. But this chart of oat futures shows why this READ MORE

Stock Market: Why You Should Prepare for a Jump in Volatility This volatility indicator “has made a series of higher lows” — and it’s not a good sign. Stock market volatility is like a roller-coaster ride — extreme ups and downs. However, unlike thrill-seeking roller-coaster riders who often rise from their seats after the ride READ MORE

Will the Dow Industrials hit 100,000 in the next decade? Well, the answer posed by the question in the title is a resounding “yes!” — according to the British financial magazine, MoneyWeek. The cover of the Dec. 4 issue of the magazine is titled “The Roaring 2020s, Prepare Your Portfolio for a Boom.” An image READ MORE

Margin: How Stock Market Investors Are “Reaching for the Stars” This is the highest ratio in the 20-year history of the data. One of the historic ways that stock market investors exhibit conviction about the direction of prices is to use leverage or participate in the market with borrowed money. Yet another way of putting READ MORE

Do These Explanations Make Sense for This Intraday Stock Market Turn? The market “is not propelled by … external causality” On Oct. 19, the DJIA had been trading higher for much of the morning, but by the last hour of trading, the index was more than 400 points in the red. During that last hour READ MORE

U.S. Long Bond: Let’s Review the “Upward Point of Exhaustion” Here’s an update on the trend of 30-year U.S. Treasuries since the historic early March price moves. Back in early March, the behavior of the bond market was reminiscent of what unfolded during the depths of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Prices and yields were making READ MORE

Think Coronavirus Caused the Crash? These Two Charts Beg to Differ Just about everyone thinks the coronavirus pandemic slammed global stock prices in February and March. Entire countries shut down; businesses closed up shop; unemployment soared. People stopped spending money beyond the essentials, so conventional wisdom would indeed expect stocks to slide as a result. READ MORE

Many stock market investors believe that prices have already bottomed. Numerous banks, brokers and financial firms have issued statements saying as much. Indeed, the May Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which has offered analysis of financial and social trends since 1979, noted: On April 28, Bloomberg interviewed four money managers to answer the question READ MORE

“Buying the dip” might work in a rip-roaring bull market, but it can cost you your shirt in a severe downturn. Even so, this March 23 Wall Street Journal quote represents the mindset of many global investors: I’m Scared. That’s a Reason to Buy. The true contrarian only buys when it makes him feel physically READ MORE

A question was posed to Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter for a classic Elliott Wave Theorist (Prechter’s monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979): Under the Wave Principle, what is the most important thing to watch other than price? Prechter answered: Volume. You see, high trading volume means that traders are READ MORE

Let’s start by establishing that the stock market is not driven by the news. Aggregate stock prices are driven by waves of optimism and pessimism — which go from one extreme to another — as reflected by the Elliott wave model. That’s what makes the stock market predictable. Hence, Elliott wave analysis is at the READ MORE

Pay Attention to “Non-Confirmations” When a trend is strong, related markets tend to move in unison. However, when a trend is near exhaustion — a bullish or bearish trend, “non-confirmations” often occur. A non-confirmation occurs when one market makes a new high (or low), but a related market does not. As cases in point, our READ MORE